Thursday, 06 August 2015

Bursali: Erdoğan is Going to Do His Utmost to Precipitate a Snap Election

Orhan Bursalı in Cumhuriyet (July 5) writes that Recep Tayyip Erdoğan does not have any patience whatsoever with enduring four years of a coalition government. Such a government is going to curtail his authority. It does not matter if it is formed with the MHP or the CHP. He is not going to be able to play as he wants with Turkey.  He cannot steer foreign policy. He cannot order the government to enact the laws that he wants. Now, a person who for the last thirteen years has transformed the whole system, including his own party, into a support base for himself, can never accept forfeiting his position as the sole decider. After a brief moment of confusion, he is now in the forefront again and busy planning to reverse the election. For this reason, at the first moment that RTE believes that he can win the elections, he is going to call a snap election. This requires most importantly that the attempts to form a coalition government are fruitless. Or, if a coalition is formed, it will need to be short-lived. Have no doubt; he is going to do absolutely everything in his power to ensure that outcome. A coalition that lasts for four years can only be a nightmare for him. He keeps bringing up the subject of an “election government.” He is warming the voters to the thought. He says that even a coalition with MHP can only be an election government. The question is, what does Davutoğlu think?

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The Turkey Analyst is a publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Joint Center, designed to bring authoritative analysis and news on the rapidly developing domestic and foreign policy issues in Turkey. It includes topical analysis, as well as a summary of the Turkish media debate.

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